Key Highlights:
- Real Deal Davies: Cole Davies wasn’t just fast, he looked untouchable. Dominating every key metric: fastest, average, and median lap times. He sliced through the field like a hot knife through butter, taking the East-West shootout win. The kid’s a force to be reckoned with!
- And Then There Were Two: Chase Sexton and Cooper Webb were in a league of their own. A full second faster per lap than the rest of the pack, they combined for 20 out of the 25 quickest laps of the night.
- Whoops Determine Lap Times: It’s no surprise at this point, whoops continue to be the ultimate deciding factor in lap times. But Davies? He just continues to blitz them. He’s been the fastest 250 rider through the whoops since Anaheim 2.
- Speed Control: Chase Sexton is mastering the art of speed management. With the third-best consistency score of the night and a blistering fastest lap that was 0.3 seconds quicker than anyone else, Sexton is dialing in exactly when to push and when to cruise.
450 Analysis:
As the tarps came off on a damp Saturday morning in Philadelphia, the collective mood shifted from dread to delight. The dreaded mudfest from Foxborough didn’t make a sequel and instead, we got a raceable track and some good ol’ fashioned Supercross chaos. Here’s what stood out:
- Chase Sexton doesn’t just have a shot — he has the math on his side. If he wins out and Cooper Webb settles for second each round, Sexton steals the title by virtue of more wins. It’s a tall order, sure, but Sexton controls his destiny.
- Ken Roczen is banged up, but don’t count him out. The #94 showed once again that he’s not just filling space on the gate, he’s still got the juice to lead laps and shake up the title fight. Roczen is the spoiler.
- While Philly dodged the mud bullet, the track wasn’t your typical dry-and-fast Supercross surface. And with the remaining rounds all being outdoors, weather could very well write the script. East Rutherford has rain in the forecast. The chaos isn’t over yet.
Track Breakdown:
The map above is fastest average sector time through the main event. Let’s get into the data. For the first time all season, only two riders lit up our sector analysis: Sexton and Webb. That’s it. Just them. This was a straight-up title bout. Webb was faster in more sectors, but Sexton’s sector advantage was in the longest ones. This race was won early, whoever grabbed track position first had the edge.
Down below, we’ve broken out the fastest single times per sector (for all riders) and the median consistency scores. Notice the whoops? Yep, once again the most difficult sector with the lowest consistency. No sand in Philly, but the theme holds: whoops and sand shape lap times .
| SEG | Rider | Avg. Time |
Fastest Time (All) |
Sector Consistency (All) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Webb | 5.70 | 5.51 | 81.3 |
| 2 | C. Webb | 7.51 | 7.19 | 73.3 |
| 3 | C. Sexton | 15.14 | 14.38 | 77.2 |
| 4 | C. Webb | 7.16 | 4.29 | 81.7 |
| 5 | C. Sexton | 7.28 | 6.98 | 81.1 |
| 6 | C. Webb | 5.62 | 5.33 | 75.3 |
Lap Time Breakdown:
After a few rounds of weather-fueled weirdness, lap times in Philly brought us back to something that looked a lot more like normal. The histogram above tells the story: a clean bell curve centered around 50–52 second laps. That means the field was tight, the track was fast, and the conditions finally allowed the best to rise.
We had 25 complete laps, and here’s how the fastest ones broke down:
- Sexton: 12
- Webb: 8
- Roczen: 4
- Bloss: 1
For the second week in a row, Benny Bloss grabs a fastest lap for the second week in a row. After re-signing with Beta last week, he’s making good on the opportunity and proving that flashes of speed are very real. But once Sexton and Webb found the front, they put on a pace clinic. Just dominant.
And how about consistency? Way up. After the chaos of Foxborough (where consistency scores was zeros), Philly gave us some of the highest consistency metrics of the year. The 450 class averaged an 87.6, with multiple riders breaking the 90-point barrier. For soft dirt and a 25-lap main, that’s elite-level execution.
450 Main Event:
| RIDER | Average Time |
Median Time |
Fastest Time |
Lap 99 | Consistency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sexton | 48.86 | 48.65 | 47.77 | 47.03 | 93.2 |
| C. Webb | 48.96 | 48.85 | 48.07 | 44.49 | 90.0 |
| K. Roczen | 49.96 | 49.62 | 48.62 | 47.72 | 94.4 |
| A. Plessinger | 50.57 | 50.26 | 49.06 | 47.59 | 90.6 |
| J. Cooper | 50.41 | 50.27 | 48.89 | 47.94 | 89.2 |
We’ve kept median lap time in the mix again this week — it’s a great way to cut through the noise. Riders are sorted by fastest median lap time.
Top Performances:
Sexton and Webb didn’t just win the eye test, they won the stopwatch war, too. They averaged nearly a second faster per lap than anyone else on the track. That’s massive in Supercross. Sexton was the only rider to break into the 47s for a single lap and led the field in average and median pace. The question is: was he holding back a little… or was that everything he had?
LITPro 10-Lap Consistency:
Consistency paints a similar picture. While Sexton stayed smooth with a 93.2 score, he actually trailed Roczen (94.4) and Barcia (93.9) in pure lap-to-lap consistency. Still, 8 riders cracked into the 90s — not easy with a 25-lap main on a soft track.
Lap 99 Analysis:
*Lap 99 takes each riders’ best segment time regardless of lap and combines them as a theoretical best lap time.
And guess what? Webb’s Lap 99 time smoked the field by 2.5 seconds. That said, we suspect he may have tripped the sector early in the bowl corner between Rhythms 2 and 3, grabbing a bit of free time (1–2 seconds). Even correcting for that, he still edges out Sexton.
Did Webb have more in the tank but settle for second? We’ll never know. But a win here would’ve made life very difficult for Sexton in the title chase.
250 Analysis:
The second of the East-West shootouts did not disappoint. The chaos was dialed up another notch. Haiden Deegan, RJ Hampshire, Julien Beaumer, Tom Vialle, and more were set to battle it out, but it was the lightning fast rookie, Cole Davies, who stole the victory. And let’s get this straight: Davies is legit. He’s been on fire all year with one of the best rookie campaigns we’ve seen, and now he’s added both a regular main event win (Seattle) and a huge East-West showdown victory to his résumé. Don’t sleep on him — he’s still mathematically alive for the West championship, but highly unlikely to win it over Deegan.
Track Breakdown:
Unsurprisingly, Davies lit up the lap chart, but here’s the surprise: Julien Beaumer made his presence felt. In the first start, Beaumer was fighting for a podium, but a red flag restart saw him stuck in the back, ultimately finishing 12th. Still, there were some solid flashes of speed from the #23.
Deegan was closing in on Davies toward the end of the race, and we know that when conditions get rough, Deegan excels. But with no real pressure to win (since Davies isn’t a true title contender), the race played out as more of a proving ground for Davies.
Looking at sector consistency medians, the whoops played a pivotal role again. They’ve been the hardest sector for the 250s all season, but Davies continues to shine here. He’s by far the fastest rider in the whoops, week in, week out. Don’t believe us? Check out the West Coast moto metrics and see for yourself.
| SEG | Rider | Avg Time |
Fastest Time (All) |
Sector Consistency (All) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Hampshire | 5.82 | 5.61 | 74.3 |
| 2 | C. Davies | 7.84 | 5.47 | 70.1 |
| 3 | C. Davies | 15.24 | 14.62 | 80.8 |
| 4 | J. Beaumer | 7.17 | 4.64 | 74.6 |
| 5 | H. Deegan | 7.27 | 6.81 | 76.6 |
| 6 | C. Davies | 5.64 | 5.36 | 81.8 |
Lap Time Breakdown:
When the 250s throw down in a shootout, it’s a who’s who of up-and-comers, and we saw that with some insane lap times. Over half the field was factory-supported, making for tight, fast racing. Just look at the histogram above: the lap time spread was contained within about 3 seconds from 1st to 21st. The talent coming up in the 250s is wild.
Out of 19 timed laps, here’s how the fast laps stacked up:
- Davies: 7
- Hammaker: 5
- Deegan: 4
- Shimoda: 2
- Hampshire: 1
The 250s didn’t quite hit the same consistency as the 450s, but they were still impressive. The median score? 85.4. Five riders still cracked the 90s.
250 Main Event:
| RIDER | Average Time |
Median Time |
Fastest Time |
Lap 99 | Consistency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davies | 49.49 | 49.28 | 48.32 | 47.46 | 86.3 |
| S. Hammaker | 49.94 | 49.64 | 49.01 | 45.89 | 92.2 |
| H. Deegan | 49.61 | 49.68 | 48.82 | 47.73 | 91.1 |
| R. Hampshire | 49.93 | 49.82 | 48.96 | 48.20 | 85.7 |
| T. Vialle | 50.08 | 49.93 | 48.91 | 48.18 | 89.1 |
Sorted by top 5 median times.
Top Performances:
Median lap time tells the real story here: Davies had the edge. While his average time was only 0.15 seconds faster than Deegan, his median was 0.4 seconds quicker. What does that mean? Well, Deegan had a couple of blazing fast laps, but didn’t keep that pace for long. On the flip side, Davies kept his lap times lower over the entire race which helped him maintain a faster median lap, even though he did back off in the last couple laps, almost letting Deegan close the gap.
But what’s crazy? We had 5 riders setting median lap times in the 49s. It’s a shame these coasts don’t mix it up more often. Any of these guys could win on any given night.
LITPro 10-Lap Consistency:
Pro Circuit’s curse might finally be lifted, let’s hope we’re not jinxing them. Hammaker and Marchbanks topped the consistency charts with scores of 92.2 and 92.6 respectively. Hammaker’s race was tough, though — second fastest median time, second best consistency, but still ended up in 4th overall. He’ll be kicking himself over that one.
Lap 99 Analysis:
*Lap 99 takes each riders’ best segment time regardless of lap and combines them as a theoretical best lap time.
Hammaker had the pace. His Lap 99 time was absolutely stellar. Timing quirks aside, Hammaker had the theoretical pace to win. If only the cards had fallen differently.
